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The Pulse - Manhattan Luxury Market 6/18/25

Pulse

The Pulse - Manhattan Luxury Market 6/18/25

Last week, Manhattan’s luxury market surged back to life, posting 41 signed contracts—a 28% increase from the prior week and the highest total since June 2021, one of the strongest years on record. In the last 30 days alone, we’ve seen 156 contracts signed, a 27% increase over the same period last year. The market is not just holding—it’s accelerating.

What stands out most? Townhouses, which represent just 2% of Manhattan’s housing stock, claimed a remarkable 32% of last week’s market share. Buyers at the high end are gravitating toward privacy, character, and outdoor space—a continued preference that’s shifting demand dynamics.

Sales volume hit $365.5M, up 50% week-over-week, a clear sign that serious capital is being deployed. This is not broad-based activity—co-op and unrenovated apartments continue to lag. But where product aligns with value, buyers are stepping in decisively.

Market Snapshot

  • Contracts Signed: 41 (up 28% week-over-week)
  • 30-Day Total Contracts: 156 (up 27% year-over-year)
  • Sales Volume: $365,556,000 (up 50% week-over-week)
  • New Listings: 36 (down 16% WoW); 204 in 30 days (down 18% YoY)
  • Off-Market Listings: 40 (down 22% WoW); 154 in 30 days (up 18% YoY)

Inventory is tightening. Sellers are pulling listings while buyers are pouncing on well-positioned opportunities—particularly in markets like the Upper East Side, which led all neighborhoods this week.

Neighborhood Performance

  • Upper East Side: 14 contracts (41%)
  • Downtown: 11 contracts (27%)
  • Midtown: 11 contracts (27%)
  • Upper West Side: 5 contracts (12%)

The Upper East Side led the market, fueled by strong townhouse and co-op performance. Downtown and Midtown also saw solid demand, especially for high-floor and branded resale product.

Property Type Breakdown

  • Condos: 20 (49%)
  • Co-ops: 8 (20%)
  • Townhouses: 13 (32%)

Townhouses had a breakout week, driven by the demand for privacy and scale. Co-ops and unrenovated apartments continue to offer relative value and may be gaining ground with savvy buyers focused on long-term potential.

New Development Contracts

  • 5 contracts | 12% market share

A quieter week for new development, though top-tier product continues to move when pricing aligns with market conditions. Notable sale: 111 Murray Street PH2, finally in contract after a significant price reduction.

Pricing Trends

  • Discounted Contracts: 20 of 41 (49%)
  • Median Discount: 7%

Buyers are active—but disciplined. Nearly half of this week’s deals involved negotiation. Value remains the guiding principle.

Market Indicators

  • Market Pulse: 2.35 (up 2.2 pts MoM, up 0.3 pts YoY)
  • Definition: The Market Pulse measures the ratio of supply to demand—active listings versus signed contracts. A higher number signals stronger demand and greater seller leverage.
  • Climate Index: 1.4 (up 17.5% MoM, up 20.7% YoY)
  • Definition: The Climate Index measures the ratio of signed contracts to listings taken off-market. Values above 1.25 indicate a market where deals are happening faster than listings are being removed.

$10M+ Market Performance

  • Contracts Signed: 10 (24% market share)
  • Market Pulse: 2.25 (up 2.2 pts MoM, up 0.3 pts YoY)
  • Climate Index: 0.85 (up 51.8% MoM, down 37% YoY)

The $10M+ segment posted a strong week, led by all-cash purchases and properties with true architectural pedigree. That said, buyers remain selective—trophy homes must now balance emotional pull with pricing precision.

Macro Market View

Geopolitical tensions briefly shook Wall Street, but confidence remains intact. The Fed is expected to hold rates steady, with two cuts projected by year-end. Meanwhile, 80% of Manhattan’s $5M+ sales are now all-cash, up from 65%. In today’s market, liquidity rules.

Top 2 Contracts of the Week - SEE ALL 41 CONTRACTS

#1- 111 Murray Street, PH2 | Tribeca | $33.5M (7,488 SF @ $4,533 PPSF)

Listed since 2017, this glass-wrapped penthouse finally went to contract after a $5.55M price adjustment. A masterclass in patient repositioning.

#2- 230 West 11th Street | West Village | $22.495M (6,163 SF @ $3,650 PPSF)

A classic Village townhouse, expertly renovated. A reflection of current demand for modernized, character-rich homes with prime addresses.

Seller & Buyer Insights

For Sellers:

Momentum is on your side. Contracts are rising. So are the Pulse and Climate Index. But pricing must still be precise. Nearly half of all signed contracts came with discounts. Strategic repositioning now—or a creative relaunch this fall—can recapture attention and secure results.

For Buyers:

Focus on overlooked assets: co-ops, legacy listings, and unrenovated homes with value potential. These categories are not commanding the spotlight—yet they offer real upside in a market where selectivity reigns.

 

Let’s Talk Strategy

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Work With Carol

Carol Staab has an innovative luxury real estate practice that provides an elite level of concierge service through unparalleled world-class marketing and a hands-on business approach. Her mission is to give her clients an exceptional experience while helping them achieve the best results possible.